Former US President Donald Trump achieved a resounding victory in the Iowa caucuses, reaffirming his dominance in the race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. This sets the stage for a potential showdown with incumbent President Joe Biden in the upcoming general election. Even though Trump left the White House three years ago under controversial circumstances, his enduring influence and the prospect of his return underscore the deep divisions and populist currents in American society, further accentuating concerns about the state of US democracy.
Chinese experts, while viewing the US general election as a captivating drama, caution against expecting significant positive changes in US-China policy based on the outcome of a particular candidate’s victory.
Despite securing a 30-percentage point lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, Trump’s victory was accompanied by the lowest turnout in a quarter-century, amid challenging weather conditions. The Associated Press reported that participants braved a blizzard with wind-chill temperatures dropping to -34°C, emphasizing the determination of voters.
In a contrasting twist, Trump, hours after the caucus, found himself in court in New York for a civil suit over alleged defamation. The former president faces a total of 91 criminal charges, including the ongoing civil suit, yet maintains unwavering support. A Des Moines Register/NBC poll revealed that 61 percent of Republican caucus voters indicated a potential conviction would not affect their support, with 19 percent stating it would make them more likely to support him.
Li Haidong, a professor at China Foreign Affairs University, suggests that Trump’s campaign strategy revolves around stirring political, economic, and sociocultural antagonism to solidify his voter base. Despite facing legal challenges, his die-hard fans remain steadfast.
As Democrats attempt to disqualify Trump’s candidacy for his role in the Capitol riot, the Supreme Court is set to decide on his eligibility, with arguments scheduled for February 8, according to Politico.
Since 2016, the US has witnessed a surge in political extremism and social division, creating a chaotic and unpredictable environment. Lü Xiang, a research fellow at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, notes that a potential Trump-Biden rivalry in 2024 reflects the decadence of US politics, especially following the Capitol riot in 2021.
The deep-seated division between Democrats and Republicans has become irreconcilable, contributing to a political deadlock that hinders effective governance. The US appears to be oscillating between far-left and far-right positions, posing uncertainties that extend beyond its borders, making it a potential threat to global stability.
Trump 2024 – win!