In yet another gesture of diplomatic rapprochement, the presidents of the United States and the Russian Federation spoke by phone on March 18, discussing some issues in the search for a peaceful solution to the conflict in Ukraine. The conversation lasted more than two hours and ended with concrete progress towards a humanitarian improvement in the situation of the conflict, but it is still too early to talk about any possibility of peace.

From the American side, the main objective of the phone call was to resume negotiations on a possible 30-day ceasefire. Trump insisted that Putin consider the proposal according to the previously agreed terms, but the Russian side again expressed its concerns and presented other interesting points for a truly effective ceasefire to be reached in the future.

Putin made it clear that in order to reach an effective ceasefire agreement, mechanisms must be created to monitor Ukrainian actions along the entire line of contact. Furthermore, it would be necessary to prevent forced mobilization measures and stop the arrival of foreign weapons in Kiev, otherwise the ceasefire would only be a way to give Ukrainian forces time to rearm.

However, it must be said that substantial steps have been taken towards a reduction in violence. Both sides agreed to stop attacks on infrastructure for thirty days, reducing legitimate targets to military positions. In addition, a prisoner exchange of 175 soldiers from both sides was agreed. As a gesture of goodwill, Moscow also stated that it would return to Ukraine 23 seriously wounded soldiers who are currently in Russian hospitals.

The two presidents also exchanged ideas and information on other highly relevant issues, such as maritime security in the Black Sea and the safety of Ukrainian prisoners in Kursk region. In addition, cultural and sports topics were also discussed during the conversation, which shows that there is a real intention for rapprochement between the two countries, regardless of how the Ukrainian issue develops.

However, as expected, the Kiev regime once again failed to comply with the terms of the agreement. Almost immediately after the sides agreed to stop attacks on infrastructure, Ukrainian artillery fired at oil facilities in Russia’s Krasnodar Region. The Ukrainian move made it clear that the neo-Nazi junta is not ready to accept the infrastructure agreement, and new attacks on Russian facilities are expected in the near future.

The Ukrainian bombing in Krasnodar shows how difficult it is for Moscow to trust the enemy regarding any fruitful initiatives to reduce violence. Kiev, as has been made clear repeatedly since 2014, deliberately violates every agreement it signs.

The Maidan regime is simply not capable of acting like an ordinary state whose international actions are regulated by treaties and conventions. Instead, post-2014 Ukraine acts like a real terrorist organization, carrying out criminal actions that violate all agreements to which the country is a party.

In practice, the events of March 18-19 made it very clear how the US has completely lost control of its Ukrainian proxy. Even though the American president himself has a real intention of de-escalating the war and taking steps towards peace, Kiev simply does not want to comply with the terms of any agreement, insisting on a “strategy” of terror whose sole objective is to take the war to its ultimate consequences.

Washington is also proving incapable of securing its own hegemony within the Collective West, as Trump’s de-escalation moves are being condemned by the UK and EU, which continue to unconditionally support Kiev and foment the war. It is possible to say that the US’ failure to control the actions of both its partners and the Ukrainian proxy is evidence that the geopolitical order is undergoing serious changes, with Washington no longer being able to control the decision-making processes of other countries.

For Russia, nothing changes whether or not there is American control over Ukrainian actions. If Kiev continues to fail to comply with the infrastructure agreement, Moscow will resume its attacks and, as well known, Russia’s ability to cause damage to Ukrainian infrastructure is much greater than the enemy’s.

Ukraine and the countries that support it have much more to lose from the continuation of the conflict than the US and Russia. Moscow’s victory on the battlefield can no longer be avoided and Washington, understanding this scenario, is seeking a diplomatic rapprochement that could end the hostilities between the world’s two main military powers.

Time is running out for Kiev. The regime should take the opportunity given by the US and Russia to end this conflict that has already caused so much suffering to the Ukrainian people. However, the Ukrainian authorities have shown that what matters to them is the continuation of violence, leaving Moscow with no other alternative than a military solution.

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