Trump’s historic return and its implications for America and the world

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Damsana Ranadhiran
  • Update Time : Friday, November 8, 2024
Trump's historic return

After a four-year break, Donald Trump has made a stunning political return, decisively defeating Democratic opponent Kamala Harris to secure his second term as US President-a rare achievement in modern American history. His re-election reshapes the political landscape, raising urgent questions about its impact on both US policy and global dynamics as the world nears a multipolar order. Trump now leads a deeply divided nation grappling with cultural, political, and economic challenges, setting the stage for potentially transformative changes at home and abroad.

Trump’s journey has been anything but ordinary. Originally seen as an outsider and dismissed by political elites, Trump has not only broken into the traditional power structures but has transformed them to fit his unique brand of leadership. His hold over the Republican Party is now solidified, turning the GOP into a platform for his brand of populist nationalism. His political comeback is particularly significant as he becomes the first US president since the 1880s to regain office after being out of power.

This victory is not just a repeat of 2016 but a reminder of Trump’s remarkable resilience. Having faced numerous legal battles, including high-profile impeachment trials and felony charges, Trump emerged stronger, rallying his base with his outsider narrative. This time, however, Trumpism is no longer a grassroots movement. It is an organized political force that resonates with a significant portion of Americans who feel alienated by the traditional elite and disenchanted by mainstream narratives. Trump’s triumph serves as both an endorsement of his policies and a stinging rebuke to the Democratic establishment.

Several factors contributed to Trump’s resurgence. Key among them is the perceived failure of the Biden administration and its handling of pressing domestic and international issues. Joe Biden’s presidency faced criticism over economic concerns, including high inflation and rising costs of living, which weighed heavily on the minds of American voters. The administration’s policies toward Russia and Ukraine, particularly the continuation of a costly proxy war, failed to resonate with a public increasingly skeptical of foreign entanglements.

Additionally, the Biden administration’s alliance with Israel amid recent Middle Eastern conflicts, particularly in Gaza, generated backlash among segments of the American electorate, especially Arab-Americans. Many viewed Biden’s support for Israel as morally troubling, if not complicit in war crimes. Kamala Harris, promoted by her party as a fresh alternative, found herself unable to overcome these hurdles. Her failure to secure a primary win in the past, combined with her controversial stances, alienated some voters who saw her as inexperienced and out of touch.

Harris’s “play to the right,” which included aligning with neoconservatives like the Cheneys, also raised eyebrows. Her rhetoric on the Gaza crisis, at times insensitive to humanitarian concerns, especially offended Arab-American voters. For the first time in modern history, as political commentator Mouin Rabbani noted, “contempt and disdain for Arabs, and demonization of Palestinians, has proven to be a losing rather than winning electoral strategy.”

The Democrats’ failure to address these issues adequately resulted in what some are calling a “humiliating defeat.” But perhaps more importantly, Trump’s victory signals the American public’s desire for a radical shift from the status quo. Voters have delivered a clear message: they are ready to shake things up, even if it means embracing Trump’s controversial brand of leadership once again.

While Trump’s critics accuse him of authoritarian leanings, he has often dismissed these claims, framing his approach as that of a populist patriot. Trump’s second term will likely intensify his push to dismantle bureaucratic structures he deems corrupt or obstructive, particularly within the “deep state.” His vision for the United States involves curtailing what he sees as the overreach of these institutions, a promise that has energized his base but alarmed many in the political establishment.

Yet, despite Trump’s strongman reputation, it is worth noting that the US political system itself has become increasingly oligarchic, where true democracy is often more rhetoric than reality. Trump’s authoritarian tendencies might be troubling, but some argue they merely reflect a larger trend within US governance. His supporters see him as a leader who is not afraid to confront entrenched powers, a stance they find refreshing in a system that often appears impervious to change.

One of the most pressing questions surrounding Trump’s presidency is his stance on foreign policy, particularly regarding Israel and Iran. Trump’s unwavering support for Israel during his first term drew praise from pro-Israel lobbies but raised concerns globally, especially among Middle Eastern nations and American citizens sympathetic to Palestinian rights. While his recent campaign hinted at a possible shift, suggesting he might be more critical of Israeli policies, it remains uncertain if this was a strategic move to attract votes or a genuine policy adjustment.

As for Iran, Trump’s past actions, including the “maximum pressure” campaign and the assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, suggest a hardline stance. However, Trump’s “America First” philosophy means he may be reluctant to involve the US in another prolonged Middle Eastern conflict. The Trump administration might pivot to a more economically focused strategy toward Iran, emphasizing sanctions over military intervention. Given the high financial and human costs of war, this approach could align with his nationalist ideals, steering the US away from direct military engagement.

Trump’s foreign policy is also expected to remain confrontational toward China. His previous administration enacted tariffs on Chinese goods and challenged China’s trade practices, actions that resonated with American workers who felt threatened by globalization. However, Trump may focus more on economic rivalry than military escalation, particularly regarding Taiwan, which could reduce the risk of direct confrontation.

Trump’s approach to Russia has long been a subject of intense scrutiny, with critics accusing him of being overly conciliatory toward Vladimir Putin. In reality, Trump’s position reflects his pragmatism. Trump’s relationship with Russia may provide an opportunity for a fresh start, as he has often criticized NATO’s approach to Russia and suggested that the US should adopt a less antagonistic stance.

With the conflict in Ukraine ongoing, Trump’s presidency could shift the dynamic by pursuing diplomatic engagement with Moscow. A US-Russia rapprochement might allow Trump to focus on domestic priorities, reducing the US commitment to NATO’s military spending. This would align with Trump’s America First vision and could signal a strategic pivot away from the confrontational foreign policy that characterized recent years.

Trump’s second term marks a defining moment for the United States. His political trajectory reflects a dramatic shift in American values and priorities. Where his first term disrupted the norms, his second term promises to push these changes further, challenging both allies and adversaries.

The extent of Trump’s influence will depend on his willingness to navigate complex political terrain. The impact of his presidency on America’s alliances, its stance on democracy, and its role on the world stage will not just define his legacy but could reshape the future of American politics.

As Trump prepares to enter the White House once again, the world watches with bated breath. Whether he will succeed in enacting his ambitious vision remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: Trump’s presidency will be anything but conventional. For supporters and critics alike, the Trump era offers a rare opportunity to witness history in the making – and to grapple with its profound consequences.

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Avatar photo Damsana Ranadhiran, Special Contributor to Blitz is a security analyst specializing on South Asian affairs.

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