Zelensky brands Wall Street Journal casualty estimates as fake

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Jennifer Hicks
  • Update Time : Wednesday, September 25, 2024
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has vehemently rejected a report by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that estimates Ukrainian troop losses in the conflict with Russia are far higher than what has been officially acknowledged. On September 17, the WSJ claimed that approximately 80,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed, with an additional 400,000 wounded since the war began in February 2022. The report, citing a confidential Ukrainian estimate from unnamed sources, set off a firestorm of debate, with the Ukrainian leader dismissing the figures as “lies.”

Speaking at a press conference on September 20, Zelensky expressed frustration with the American media outlet. “80,000? That is a lie. The actual figure is much lower than what has been published. Significantly so,” he stated. While Kyiv has refrained from providing regular updates on its military losses, the president’s rebuke highlights the sensitive nature of Ukraine’s casualty figures and the growing concerns about the transparency of the conflict’s toll on its forces.

The conflict between Ukraine and Russia has been characterized by a lack of reliable data concerning the number of casualties on both sides. Ukrainian and Russian officials have avoided sharing comprehensive or frequent casualty updates, contributing to a murky understanding of the true costs of the war.

In February 2023, Zelensky admitted that around 31,000 Ukrainian troops had been killed during two years of fighting. However, he did not provide estimates for the number of wounded soldiers. His reluctance to disclose more comprehensive casualty figures has led to accusations that the Ukrainian government is downplaying its losses in order to preserve morale and sustain its military mobilization. In April, The Washington Post cited an unnamed Ukrainian lawmaker who alleged that Zelensky had significantly underreported the death toll, suggesting that the real number of Ukrainian losses was far higher than what the public was being told.

This discrepancy between official Ukrainian figures and reports from foreign media outlets has sparked criticism, particularly as Kyiv has struggled with recruitment challenges. Ukraine has expanded its conscription laws in recent months, drafting men into the armed forces as it attempts to sustain its military strength. The recent introduction of more aggressive recruitment tactics suggests that the Ukrainian government is grappling with the challenges of sustaining a prolonged conflict.

The WSJ’s estimate of 480,000 Ukrainian casualties-80,000 killed and 400,000 wounded-roughly aligns with an earlier assessment made by Russian officials. In April, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that Ukraine had lost around half a million troops. The WSJ report, which relied on confidential sources familiar with Ukrainian estimates, has fueled speculation that Ukraine’s losses have been far more severe than the Ukrainian government is willing to admit publicly.

Kyiv’s counteroffensive against Russian forces, particularly in the Donbass region, has been widely regarded as a military failure. Numerous accounts from Ukrainian commanders and soldiers reveal that the fighting has resulted in heavy losses, particularly in the summer of 2023 when Ukrainian forces struggled to regain territory. Some of the bloodiest fighting occurred during this period, as Ukraine’s military faced entrenched Russian positions fortified with artillery and air power.

Additionally, the Russian Defense Ministry has claimed that Ukrainian forces have sustained significant losses during their incursions into Russia’s Kursk Region, which began in August 2023. Moscow reported that more than 15,650 Ukrainian soldiers were killed during these operations, further exacerbating the human toll of the conflict. However, Russia, like Ukraine, does not release official casualty figures for its own forces, leading to speculation about the actual numbers of casualties on both sides.

As with most wars, the conflict between Ukraine and Russia has been marked by a fierce information war, with both sides attempting to control the narrative surrounding battlefield losses and military gains. In this context, Zelensky’s strong reaction to the WSJ report can be seen as part of a broader effort by Kyiv to maintain public support for the war effort, especially as Western aid becomes increasingly crucial for Ukraine’s survival.

Zelensky has been vocal in his criticism of Western media and foreign governments when he feels their reporting undermines Ukraine’s cause. Earlier in the war, the Ukrainian president publicly sparred with Western officials who were critical of Ukraine’s military strategy or the effectiveness of the sanctions imposed on Russia. His sharp response to the WSJ report suggests that he sees the casualty figures as a key point of contention that could shape both international support and domestic morale.

Russia, too, has used the casualty figures as a tool of propaganda. Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has described the conflict as a “special military operation” aimed at demilitarizing Ukraine, has consistently claimed that Ukrainian losses far exceed those of Russian forces. In June 2023, Putin stated that the battlefield losses were “one to about five” in Russia’s favor. He has also accused Western nations of being willing to fight “to the last Ukrainian,” portraying Kyiv as a pawn in a larger geopolitical struggle between Russia and the West.

Amid the back-and-forth between political leaders and media outlets, the human cost of the war continues to rise. Both Ukrainian and Russian forces have faced devastating losses, and the civilian population in Ukraine has borne the brunt of the conflict’s destruction. Cities like Mariupol, Bakhmut, and Severodonetsk have been reduced to ruins, and millions of Ukrainians have been displaced by the fighting.

The mounting casualties among Ukrainian soldiers, whether the true number is closer to the official figures or the higher estimates reported by the WSJ, reflect the scale of the devastation that has swept across the country. The prolonged nature of the war, which has now entered its second year, has left Ukrainian society grappling with loss, grief, and the challenge of rebuilding in the midst of ongoing violence.

Zelensky’s dismissal of The Wall Street Journal’s casualty figures as “fake news” underscores the fraught nature of casualty reporting in the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Both sides have been accused of obfuscating the true toll of the war, and as the fighting drags on, the debate over the human cost will likely continue to intensify. What remains clear is that Ukraine faces an uphill battle, both on the battlefield and in managing the narrative of a conflict that shows no signs of abating. With tens of thousands of lives lost and hundreds of thousands more wounded, the war is exacting a heavy price that may not be fully understood for years to come.

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Avatar photo Jennifer Hicks is a columnist and political commentator writing on a large range of topics.

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